Idol Speculation: “Survivor David vs. Goliath” Episode 9: Love, Labors Lost

22 Nov

Good night, sweet dunce, and a flight of Supergirls sing thee to the jury. Hope you enjoyed that eulogy, as there’ll be little mourning throughout the rest of this blog. Celebration at a fantastic episode? Yes, but no mourning.

Things are a bit shell-shocked at Kalokalo camp. Davie breaks the silence by explaining to everyone what went down and why. Davie’s a pretty good salesman here, talking about his move in a way that earns him credit, but doesn’t come across as obnoxious. Privately, however, Davie reacts how any “Survivor” fan would, jumping up and down and squealing about he major blindside he just pulled off. And just to rub salt in Angelina’s wounds, what item did Johnny Mundo bequeath to Davie? His jacket. Apart from showing that Johnny Mundo has a lot of class (and that this season has a jacket fetish), this is also a big middle finger to Angelina. I’m sure she’s busy making up a Davie voodoo doll right about now.

Of course, a vote of this magnitude does not leave the remaining allies unaffected. Alison, Alec, and Kara all commiserate about flipping to the former Davids. True, the former Goliaths still have the numbers, and an idol (Nick’s vote steal and Carl’s idol nullifier notwithstanding, since they have no way to know about either of those), but what the former Davids have is momentum. Bear in mind that on “Survivor”, perception can be reality, and the perception right now is that the former Davids are on the upswing. Thus, for a lot of the former Goliaths, the debate is not IF to flip, but WHEN. It’s a similar situation to “Survivor Heroes vs. Villains” following the merge episode. Despite being down in numbers, the former Heroes really still had the edge. They’d burned the Villains idols, and given how divisive Russell Hantz could be (shocker, I know), they had the possibility to flip someone with relative ease. However, having just pulled off a major ousting of JT (a move that becomes less and less impressive with hindsight, but still awesome), the momentum seemed to be with the Villains, and so Candice ruined that plan (and, in my opinion, the rest of the season) by siding with them against her interest. Something similar is happening here, only with more concrete evidence.

Speaking of concrete evidence, even Dan, with his relative lack of knowledge of the game, can see the blindingly obvious. This Alison/Alec/Kara conversation doesn’t include him, and goes on for a fair length of time. Thus, he correctly concludes that he’s probably on the outside of their plans. Hmm, a smart, evidence-based conclusion that might lead to a shake-up in the alliance? There must be some way to ruin this…

Make it all about the romance, of course! While Dan is certainly upset about where this puts him in the game, he’s more upset that Kara isn’t there with him. He of course expresses this to Kara in the most whiny way possible, which naturally endears Kara to him! Wait, no, Kara actually makes SENSE, and is therefore turned off by this. In confessional, she states that she will sever ties with him, thus explaining why she and Alec became a thing prior to the season airing. For all my jibes, I actually really like this scene, even if I do feel a bit voyeuristic intruding upon what should by rights be a private moment. However, it’s by no means got extreme or sensitive material in the break-up (beyond your usual break-up emotions, of course), and they both knew what they were signing up for. What intrigues me, though, is that while we’ve seen a couple of romances bloom on “Survivor”, we’ve never really seen one die on “Survivor”. Afterwards? Too many to list. But during the show? That’s pretty rare, if not unique at this point. Usually if a romance ends, it’s due to one party being voted off, as opposed to them breaking it off prior to the vote, as happens here. Still, good for Kara for finally ditching the dead weight that is Dan (game-wise, not life-wise, of course).

Now we come to our reward challenge. It sucks. It is a hybrid, reused team reward challenge post-merge. In other words, every element I don’t like. I can at least say that they hybrid is from “Survivor Philippines” (the puzzle) and “Survivor Cagayan” (the obstacles of the obstacle course), which are good seasons to draw from, but still, you’re not winning me over on this one, “Survivor”!

At least the reward is nice. An open burger bar and drinks for everyone. Carl in particular is excited for the beer. Naturally, this means that when one person must sit out of the challenge randomly, and thus lose no shot at the reward, it’s Carl. He grumbles about it, doubtless thinking of the leftover beer from when Will Wahl (“Survivor Millenniams vs. Gen. X”), and Mike Yerger (“Survivor Ghost Island”) were players. The grumbling is such that it somewhat makes up for the fact that the show once again passes up a golden opportunity to let the sit-out bid on reward, thus adding choice and further stakes to the challenge.

Our teams consist of Christian, Gabby, Alison, Nick, and Angelina, against Davie, Alec, Dan, Mike, and Kara. Probst touts the physical prowess of the latter team, and for once it makes a difference. Not that the teams aren’t neck and neck most of the way, but for once, the team of puzzle experts did not win the puzzle. Nice shake-up. I particularly like how, when Alison gets a combination off of the opposing team’s already completed one, they distract Christian by randomly shouting numbers at him, thus somewhat negating the copying. Gabby gives us what SHOULD be our dejected confessional post-challenge, but is instead actually triumphant. Gabby, rather than curse the darkness, has chosen to light a candle. That candle of course being the candle of alliance-making.

Alison, who evidently still talks strategy with Gabby despite not seeming to want to ally with her, discusses her desire to make a big move, and talks about how voting out Angelina might have been such a move. Gabby, in one of the best bits of persuasion I’ve seen on this show, runs with that desire, but slowly starts to twist it to her advantage. From the vantage point of the former Davids, any former Goliath going home is good. Remember, though, that Angelina is a divisive figure. Take her out and the majority loses a number, and they reconvene easily. Take out someone like Dan, however, and you lose a lot of the glue that holds together the alliance (Mike would arguably be better for this purpose, as he’s the most gung-ho about “Goliath Strong”, but I can understand not wanting to take out someone who in the past at least considered working with you). While we in the future who have seen the full episode know that this persuasion ultimately fails, in my opinion, this is a crash course on how manipulation should be done on “Survivor”. Subtle, yet present. Gabby didn’t do much, didn’t even really propose a formal plan to Alison. She listened and had a real conversation with the lady. Then, when an opening was there, she made a suggestion (not a command, mind you, a suggestion) that on the surface seemed to further Alison’s game. Gabby, from Alison’s perspective, is not telling her what to do, but instead just trying to better her (Alison’s) game. What Gabby is really doing, however, is switching Alison to the target of HER (Gabby’s) choice. And Alison probably doesn’t even know it. THIS is the Gabby I adore. THIS is the Gabby I want to see more of. I like this manipulation so much that I can even forgive Alison bringing up the lens of the “big move”.

Over at the reward, Mike opines that rewards are for two things: eating and talking strategy. I’d argue they’re also for hunting for idol clues, but maybe Mike is more of an old-school fan. In any case, once Davie goes to take a walk, Mike jumps in on more of the “Goliath Strong” talk, though this time an actual incentive is presented. Rather than just being a case of “original tribe loyalty” Mike points out that if any of them want to win, they NEED to eliminate the former Davids. This actually makes sense. Everyone, even a winner, loves an underdog story. The David tribe had at least that advantage coming into the game, and so any original Goliath member would be a fool to go up against them. Kara, however, has also been bitten by the “big move bug”, and thus opines in confessional that she’s ready to flip.

Correctly surmising that the idol Davie played last episode is probably re-hidden somewhere, the former Davids get up bright and early to search for it. A good group effort, but nothing is found prior to breakfast. All pretense of subtlety forgotten, most of the former Davids give up and go to breakfast. Christian, however, decides to keep looking, surmising that as he already has a target on his back, there’s no harm in him looking willy-nilly. Christian also promises us an exciting new strategy in looking for the idol! Said strategy… is to look in a bunch of different places. How original. Christian eventually finds it in an odd-shaped tree (how original), and he celebrates. Moving on…

While still playing on a lot of common challenge elements, our immunity challenge is LEAGUES ahead of our reward challenge. This is somewhat damning by faint praise, but still worthy of some praise nonetheless Contestants balance a ball on a disk as they cross a teeter-totter. Once they have three balls across, they navigate the balls across a narrow, tilting table, getting them into designated slots, with the first person to nest their three balls winning immunity. Pretty standard challenge fare, but there are two things I like about it. First off, rather than the goal for the three balls being in a line, the goals are spaced throughout the table, so each ball must be taken farther than the previous one. Second, and more importantly, it’s not yet another endurance challenge! Have you noticed lately how nearly every immunity challenge post-merge is some form of endurance? Granted I LIKE endurance challenges, but you run out of ideas fast. This is a race, which adds variety to the competition.

A few people are in the race for the victory, though Alec, the clear frontrunner for a significant portion of the challenge, ends up taking it home. Probst, determined to drive this theme into the ground, points out how all immunity challenge winners at the individual state so far have been former Goliaths. Really, the only significance here is that Dan (another frontrunner in the challenge) did not win.

This is an interesting case on “Survivor”, where the outcome is incredibly obvious. At this point, we can pretty much guarantee that Dan is going home at this point. Last episode must have sucked all the mystery out of the show. So, rather than try and misdirect us, the show instead shows us in detail the journey of how we get there. And what a journey it is!

At first, said journey seems it will be straightforward. Kara and Alison talk with Gabby and Nick about wanting to get Dan out. Or I should say Kara talks. Alison listens, and starts to become concerned with how badly Kara wants to do this. This makes Alison take a step back and consider her move, which I’m in favor of. What I’m not in favor of is Alison saying this means she should stick with the former Goliaths, and that NOT making a move was her big move. Kara I could understand not wanting to flip. She has few relations with any former Davids now that Elizabeth is gone, and is tight with her original tribe. But Alison? Need I remind you that you were on the BOTTOM of the Goliaths? They didn’t want you in their core! Once again, proper moves are being made, but by the opposite people who should be making them.

Alison and Alec confer, eventually agreeing that Christian is still a bigger threat, and needs to go. To weigh in on Alec here, he’s pretty good either way. His name was mud as soon as he voted out Natalia, so he has no real loyalty to either side, making him the ideal swing vote. They bring Kara in on it, and though she’s reluctant, she agrees to again target Christian. If the former Goliaths were subtle, this might seem like decent misdirection. However, they are not subtle, instead gathering together on the beach to discuss their plans. This does not go unnoticed by the former Davids, who then decide to pool their knowledge for options. Christian’s idol, Nick’s vote steal, and Carl’s idol nullifier all get brought out for consideration, with Gabby quickly leading the logical charge of “Use the vote steal, then play the nullifier on the stolen vote, since that’s where an idol is likely to go”. This, frankly is the most logical plan. True, it gets rid of two advantages instead of one, as playing Christian’s idol would, but it helps prevent a split vote from the former Goliaths, which is a real threat here. Plus, it makes sense that the idol would be played on the stolen vote, since they seem the obvious target. Now this, show, is how you use your advantages. Throw them out into the game, but let them ENHANCE the strategy, but not dominate it.

Tribal Council is a crash course in a tribe-split bantering. After some veiled sniping from both sides, and a demonstration that Nick is about as good as math as Brad Culpepper (“Survivor Blood vs. Water”) with him stating there is a 7-5 advantage when in fact it’s 6-5 at this point, we get into our arguments. Alison makes a comment about wanting to go, which Gabby chimes in is hard to trust when as soon as a former Goliath was targeted, the plan changed to Christian. Gabby then says that someone on the Goliaths is on the bottom, and should consider flipping. Dan makes the logical counterargument that this would just put said person on the bottom of the Davids. Carl and Davie then make the counter-counterargument that as the minority, the Davids have fewer options, and thus may be more fractured. My call in these situations is usually to flip, since you can say you were proactive about your game and worst, and maybe able to exploit a crack at best.

Doing the smart thing, Nick’s vote steal comes out. Naturally wanting to paint a target on someone, he steals the vote of… Alison. Ok, I can get not wanting to steal from the person you’re voting for, as it may be too obvious a target, but why go for someone you might want to ally with? Yes, piss them off! See where it gets you!

While his vote was not stolen, the vote steal still makes Dan paranoid, and he plays his idol on himself. A smart move, but unfortunately, a new twist rears its beautiful head. Probst pulls out the played idol nullifier, which it turns out was played on Dan, thus meaning his idol is void. This means it is time for a verdict on the idol nullifier, and I think we can say it had a good first outing! Apart from leading to a dramatic Tribal Council moment (with Probst flawlessly delivering the “…and this is the Idol Nullifier” moment within his usual idol speech), I think what wins me over here is the teamwork. Something like a hidden immunity idol, while stronger on its own, can be done without the need for a team to help you. It can give an underdog power just by possessing it. The idol nullifier, however, almost necessitates working with a team, as otherwise you’ll have almost no clue when to play it. This facilitates discussion between players, making things more interesting than just another game-breaking advantage. In short, the twist was used well, and I look forward to seeing it on other seasons.

This, naturally, leads to Dan’s demise. I have nothing for respect for the guy in real life, but I’m not sorry to see him go here. He was, at best, a mediocre player of “Survivor”, and brought little in the character department. Plus, if the eviction of John last week didn’t fracture the former Goliaths, this certainly will, and I look forward to watching the chaos unfold next week. Plus, like most people this season, Dan goes out with a lot of class, which helps with tricky evictions.

Next week may be the two-hour episode, but I feel this week and the previous one should have been combined, as they’re two opposite ways to make an interesting episode of “Survivor”. Last week had nothing but intrigue about the bot, though we had to go through convoluted hoops and deceptions of the audience to get there. This week had an obvious outcome, but a fascinating journey, and I would argue the stronger of the two for it. Let us hope the upward trend continues!

Sadly, though, “Idol Speculation” will not be there for it next week, at least not at the usual time. I work first shift at my job now, which makes staying up late to write a blog a risk at the best of times, and with a two-hour episode, just not feasible. I swear to you now that I will read no blogs and take in no opinions on the episode until I write my blog, but it won’t come out as soon as it usually does. Please be patient, my readers!

-Matt

Title Credit to Jean Storrs.

Leave a comment